These teams statistically have the lowest ATS winning percentage. Things can change on a dime and the sportsbooks are going to steadily de-value teams that aren’t covering point spreads
LaSalle was projected to come in 3rd or 4th behind Atlantic-10 powerteams VCU and St. Louis coming into the season. The Explorers certainly haven’t been horrible: 4-5 in conference play, 12-11 overall. But they’ve been ATS bottom feeders from Day 1, dropping eight of their first nine against the number. They have been almost as bad of late, covering only one spread in their last eight games. The Jaguars are unable to win by big margins or lose by small ones.
Central Florida can make a case as the single worst team ATS on a percentage basis, just 3-12 ATS. Lasalle has lost more net units ( 5-15 ATS).
The Knights were a 20-win team in Conference USA last year and returned four starters. To illustrate their market value to open the campaign, it’s surely worth noting UCF was favored over Florida State in November. And with an early season SU win as eight point underdogs at Miami-Florida, the markets expected good things from Donnie Jones’ Knights.
That said, the AAC is a lot better than C-USA, and UCF has been a dramatically overvalued as a result. The Knights have had precious little home court edge, covering only one spread in Orlando all year.
An inability to make free throws – as a team, hitting less than 60 percent for the season – has left them on the wrong end of the point spread standings in conference play. Their only win against the spread in ten conference games came in a 17 point loss at Louisville when the Knights were catching 19.5.
Notre Dame has been struggling since loosing leading scorer and assist man Jerian Grant just prior to the start of ACC play and they’ve had no home court edge, covering only two spreads in 14 home games.